Why Those AI Doom Percentages Are Basically Made Up
Every few weeks, someone puts a tidy percentage on how likely artificial intelligence is to end civilization. Ten percent shows up a lot, as if risk assessment for a technology nobody fully understands can be pinned down like a weather forecast. A recent post making the rounds pushes back on that habit by simply flipping the number: if there's a 10% chance of doom, doesn't that also mean there's…
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